Tennis · W50 Berkeley · 24/09, 19:00
Prediction: Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Reina Goto
Team pages: Lucciana Perez Alarcon · Reina Goto
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Reina Goto
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
7-3 (W-L)
Reina Goto
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucciana Perez Alarcon 1533 · Reina Goto 1471
| Lucciana Perez Alarcon | Reina Goto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucciana Perez Alarcon (rating 1533 vs 1471).
Statistics
| Lucciana Perez Alarcon | Reina Goto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8.1 | 9.3-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 53.8% |
| Break % | 57.1% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Ena Koike W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Fangran Tian WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 08/08 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Chacabuco |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/08 | Lorena Schaedel W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/08 | Melina Maria Maruca W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/07 | Daria Egorova W35 Pergamino |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Luna Maria Cinalli W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Marina Bulbarella W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/07 | Julia Riera W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Reina Goto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Johanne C Svendsen W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Clervie Ngounoue W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Jantje Tilbuerger W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Mei Yamaguchi W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Victoria Osuigwe W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 25/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Anri Nagata W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Misaki Matsuda W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Zongyu Li W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Reina Goto?
Our model gives 56% to Lucciana Perez Alarcon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.