Tennis · W35 Sharm El Sheikh · 24/09, 10:00

Prediction: Victoria Milovanova vs Federica Sacco

Team pages: Victoria Milovanova · Federica Sacco

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Victoria Milovanova Federica Sacco
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Victoria Milovanova 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWLWWLW
Federica Sacco 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Victoria Milovanova 1558 · Federica Sacco 1485
Victoria MilovanovaFederica Sacco
Our model60%40%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Victoria Milovanova (rating 1558 vs 1485).
  • Victoria Milovanova is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Victoria MilovanovaFederica Sacco
Win %70%40%
Win % · Hard 100% (1) 100% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.61-1.3
Games (G-P)9.9-7.610.3-11.5
Aces0.10.8
Double faults2.73
1st serve %60.8%58.7%
Break %48.1%51.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Victoria Milovanova

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Dune Vaissaud
W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 14-11 W
08/08 Kisa Yoshioka
W15 Astana
0-2 3-12 L
07/08 Nina Sozaonova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-3 W
06/08 Alexandra Malova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-8 W
02/08 Edda Mamedova
W15 Astana
0-2 6-12 L
01/08 Daria Zelinskaya
W15 Astana
2-0 13-6 W
31/07 Aiya Nupbay
W15 Astana
2-0 13-9 W
30/07 Kira Bataikina
W15 Astana
2-0 12-0 W
29/07 Nina Sozaonova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-3 W
17/07 Ekaterina Tupitsyna
W15 Astana
0-2 2-12 L

Federica Sacco

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Anna Snigireva
W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
16/09 Katarina Kuzmova
W35 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
10/09 Yuliya Perapekhina
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 15-17 L
09/09 Sarafina Olivia Hansen
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
27/08 Valentina Steiner
W35 Trieste
0-2 4-12 L
26/08 Maria Andrienko
W35 Trieste
2-0 12-6 W
24/08 Radka Zelnickova
W35 Trieste
2-1 13-15 W
18/08 Jessica Pieri
W35 Bistrita · ~Clay
1-2 15-15 L
12/08 Maia Ilinca Burcescu
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
25/07 Ariana Geerlings
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Victoria Milovanova vs Federica Sacco?

Our model gives 57% to Victoria Milovanova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.