Tennis · W15 Monastir · 24/09, 12:00

Prediction: Yuka Matsumoto vs Astrid Cirotte

Team pages: Yuka Matsumoto · Astrid Cirotte

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Yuka Matsumoto Astrid Cirotte
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Yuka Matsumoto 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWLWWLWW
Astrid Cirotte 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLLLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yuka Matsumoto 1559 · Astrid Cirotte 1556
Yuka MatsumotoAstrid Cirotte
Our model50%50%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Yuka MatsumotoAstrid Cirotte
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 67% (3) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81.3-1
Games (G-P)9.9-8.210.5-10.2
Aces02.2
Double faults0.72.8
1st serve %58.6%59.9%
Break %47%44.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yuka Matsumoto

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Nadine Hamrouni
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
22/09 Louanne Djafari
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
10/09 Seo Yun Choi
W15 Yeongwol
0-2 7-12 L
09/09 Mio Mushika
W15 Yeongwol
2-1 14-13 W
07/09 Anri Nagata
W15 Yeongwol
2-0 8-2 W
19/06 Aishi Das
W15 Sapporo
0-2 2-12 L
18/06 Natsuho Arakawa
W15 Sapporo
2-0 12-1 W
17/06 Mayuka Aikawa
W15 Sapporo
2-0 13-9 W
16/06 Yuka Hosoki
W15 Sapporo
2-1 10-11 W
13/05 Sara Yoshida
W15 Toyama · ~Hard
1-2 9-15 L

Astrid Cirotte

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Meriem Ben Ezzedine Meriem
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
12/09 Imogen Haddad
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 10-17 L
11/09 Kristina Belkova
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
10/09 Sandeepti Singh Rao
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
09/09 Clarissa Blomqvist
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 12-11 W
02/09 Fiona Ferro
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
0-2 3-12 L
31/08 Hanna Bougouffa
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-1 18-15 W
30/08 Coline Briand
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-0 12-4 W
26/08 Emma Lene
W35 Verbier
0-2 5-12 L
28/07 Viktoria Hruncakova
W50 Dublin
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yuka Matsumoto vs Astrid Cirotte?

Our model gives 63% to Astrid Cirotte, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.