Tennis · W35 Sharm El Sheikh · 24/09, 09:00
Prediction: Ekaterina Perelygina vs Ulyana Hrabavets
Team pages: Ekaterina Perelygina · Ulyana Hrabavets
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Perelygina
Ulyana Hrabavets
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Perelygina
7-3 (W-L)
Ulyana Hrabavets
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Perelygina 1613 · Ulyana Hrabavets 1490
| Ekaterina Perelygina | Ulyana Hrabavets | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekaterina Perelygina (rating 1613 vs 1490).
- Ekaterina Perelygina is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Ekaterina Perelygina makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Perelygina | Ulyana Hrabavets | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-7.4 | 10.9-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 6.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 56% |
| Break % | 60.9% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Perelygina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Yasmin Ezzat W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/09 | Laia Petretic W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/09 | Olga Danilova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 16/09 | Minel Naz Kaynak W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/08 | Samira De Stefano W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Lejla Hana Golubovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/08 | Sara Mikaca W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/08 | Alexa Karatancheva W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
Ulyana Hrabavets
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Iva Marinkovic W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Mariia Masiianskaia W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Aya El Aouni W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Krystyna Pochtovyk W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/05 | Aya El Sayed W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/05 | Olga Danilova W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/05 | Sandra Samir W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Maria Shmeleva W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Perelygina vs Ulyana Hrabavets?
Our model gives 77% to Ekaterina Perelygina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.