Tennis · W35 Sharm El Sheikh · 24/09, 09:00
Prediction: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Ksenia Smirnova
Team pages: Zuzanna Pawlikowska · Ksenia Smirnova
Prediction summary
Winner
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
Ksenia Smirnova
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
8-2 (W-L)
Ksenia Smirnova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zuzanna Pawlikowska 1558 · Ksenia Smirnova 1551
| Zuzanna Pawlikowska | Ksenia Smirnova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ksenia Smirnova makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Zuzanna Pawlikowska | Ksenia Smirnova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-6.4 | 10.3-8.6 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 66.4% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Liana Dvalishvili W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/09 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Kateryna Diatlova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Alexandra Cheishvili W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Daria Kuczer W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Dalila Jakupovic W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Oriana Gniewkowska W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Megan Heuser W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/08 | Darya Velikova W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ksenia Smirnova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Joody Elkady W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Astrid Cirotte W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Dominika Podhajecka W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Emma Van Poppel W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-0 | W |
| 11/07 | Polina Leykina W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Isabella Kruger W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Danielle Dai Chapman W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Dominika Podhajecka W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Jenny Duerst W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Nelise Verster W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Ksenia Smirnova?
Our model gives 67% to Zuzanna Pawlikowska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.