Prediction: Arvid Nordquist vs James Connel
Team pages: Arvid Nordquist · James Connel
Prediction summary
Winner
Arvid Nordquist
James Connel
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arvid Nordquist
9-1 (W-L)
James Connel
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arvid Nordquist 1535 · James Connel 1511
| Arvid Nordquist | James Connel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Arvid Nordquist | James Connel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9.1 | 10.1-8.7 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 51% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arvid Nordquist
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Pavel Savelov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Giulio Perego Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Amit Vales M15 Turku |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Markus Molder M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Romain Andres M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Stian Klaassen M15 Turku |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Martin Borisiouk M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/07 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 09/07 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
James Connel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Louis Larue M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Damien Salvestre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Ali Yazdani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 10/09 | Kasra Rahmani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Taym Alazmeh M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Christian Langmo M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Nick Hardt M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/04 | Hunter Heck M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Kian Vakili M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/04 | Lucca C Pignaton M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arvid Nordquist vs James Connel?
Our model gives 52% to Arvid Nordquist, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.