Tennis · W50 Berkeley · 23/09, 22:00
Prediction: Alina Shcherbinina vs Valeriya Strakhova
Team pages: Alina Shcherbinina · Valeriya Strakhova
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Shcherbinina
Valeriya Strakhova
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Shcherbinina
9-1 (W-L)
Valeriya Strakhova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Shcherbinina 1597 · Valeriya Strakhova 1553
| Alina Shcherbinina | Valeriya Strakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Shcherbinina (rating 1597 vs 1553).
- Note: Alina Shcherbinina makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Alina Shcherbinina | Valeriya Strakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-4.7 | 12.9-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 62.3% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Shcherbinina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Berta Passola W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Krisha Mahendran W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/09 | Marta Mariia Makarova UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 04/09 | Jade Psonka UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/09 | Maria Ustic UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/09 | Ligaya Murray UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Kayla Schefke UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/08 | Carla Grignac UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Valentina Vachkova UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
Valeriya Strakhova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Maria Lourdes Carle W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Chloe Paquet W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Seda Baslilar W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W35 Verbier |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Luisa Hrda W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Lara Schmidt W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Lucie Havlickova W50 Prague |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Tereza Krejcova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/08 | Petra Sedlackova W50 Prague |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 16/08 | Anna Dvorackova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Shcherbinina vs Valeriya Strakhova?
Our model gives 67% to Alina Shcherbinina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.