Tennis · W50 Berkeley · 23/09, 19:00
Prediction: Maria Sholokhova vs Anna Rogers
Team pages: Maria Sholokhova · Anna Rogers
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Sholokhova
Anna Rogers
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Sholokhova
6-4 (W-L)
Anna Rogers
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Sholokhova
1–0
Anna Rogers
(1 last)
- 11 Jun2-1 16-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Sholokhova 1588 · Anna Rogers 1486
| Maria Sholokhova | Anna Rogers | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Sholokhova (rating 1588 vs 1486).
- Head-to-head: Maria Sholokhova 1–0 Anna Rogers (1).
- Note: Maria Sholokhova makes many double faults (8.4/match).
Statistics
| Maria Sholokhova | Anna Rogers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-7.1 | 10.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 8.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 58.9% | 56.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Maria Sholokhova 1 – 0 Anna Rogers (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Sholokhova 1–0 Anna Rogers
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/26 W35 Decatur | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Sholokhova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Olivia Lincer W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/09 | Adriana Reami W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Edda Mamedova W15 Astana |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 30/07 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Sabrina Olimjanova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/07 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W15 Astana |
0-1 | 2-6 | L |
| 17/07 | Ekaterina Maklakova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Yashaswini Panwar W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Kira Bataikina W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Ekaterina Maklakova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
Anna Rogers
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Hiroko Kuwata W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/08 | Capucine Jauffret W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Mary Stoiana W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Jenna Defalco W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Sahaja Yamalapalli WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Sofia Johnson W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Sholokhova vs Anna Rogers?
Our model gives 56% to Maria Sholokhova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.