Tennis · W50 Berkeley · 24/09, 19:00

Prediction: Madison Brengle vs Ekaterina Maklakova

Team pages: Madison Brengle · Ekaterina Maklakova

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Madison Brengle Ekaterina Maklakova
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Madison Brengle 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLWWLWLW
Ekaterina Maklakova 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Madison Brengle 1500 · Ekaterina Maklakova 1576
Madison BrengleEkaterina Maklakova
Our model39%61%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekaterina Maklakova (rating 1500 vs 1576).
  • Ekaterina Maklakova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Ekaterina Maklakova makes many double faults (5.2/match).

Statistics

Madison BrengleEkaterina Maklakova
Win %50%80%
Win % · Hard 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11.6-0.5
Games (G-P)9.9-10.211.5-7.6
Aces0.13
Double faults1.85.2
1st serve %51.4%67.1%
Break %49.3%46.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Madison Brengle

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
W50 Berkeley
2-0 12-2 W
26/08 Lucrezia Stefanini
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
24/08 Anastasia Gasanova
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
06/08 Hanne Vandewinkel
W100 Landisville
0-2 2-12 L
30/07 Emerson Jones
WTA Vancouver · Hard
1-2 8-16 L
28/07 Alexandra Vagramov
WTA Vancouver · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
23/07 Yuki Naito
W100 Evansville
1-2 14-18 L
10/07 Greet Minnen
WTA Newport · Grass
0-2 5-13 L
09/07 Kayla Cross
WTA Newport · Grass
2-0 12-4 W
08/07 Ana Sofia Sanchez
WTA Newport · Grass
2-0 13-8 W

Ekaterina Maklakova

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Jo Yee Chan
W50 Berkeley
2-0 13-10 W
30/07 Ingkar Dyussebay
W15 Astana
0-2 7-13 L
29/07 Ekaterina Kuznetsova
W15 Astana
2-1 16-11 W
17/07 Maria Sholokhova
W15 Astana
0-2 9-13 L
16/07 Anna Sedysheva
W15 Astana
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Ksenia Laskutova
W15 Astana
2-0 8-1 W
12/07 Aruzhan Sagandikova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-1 W
11/07 Maria Sholokhova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-9 W
10/07 Ekaterina Tupitsyna
W15 Astana
2-0 13-7 W
09/07 Shruti Ahlawat
W15 Astana
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Madison Brengle vs Ekaterina Maklakova?

Our model gives 59% to Madison Brengle, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.