Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 24/09, 11:00
Prediction: Matteo Martineau vs Daniel Masur
Team pages: Matteo Martineau · Daniel Masur
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Martineau
Daniel Masur
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Martineau
6-4 (W-L)
Daniel Masur
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matteo Martineau
0–2
Daniel Masur
(2 last)
- 29 Jan1-2 15-15L
- 12 Feb0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Martineau 1527 · Daniel Masur 1585
| Matteo Martineau | Daniel Masur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Masur (rating 1527 vs 1585).
- Daniel Masur is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Matteo Martineau 0–2 Daniel Masur (2).
- Note: Matteo Martineau makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Matteo Martineau | Daniel Masur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.9 | 13.9-11.9 |
| Aces | 8.1 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 75.6% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 37.4% | 35% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
H2H · Matteo Martineau 0 – 2 Daniel Masur (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matteo Martineau 0–2 Daniel Masur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/23 M25 Nussloch | 1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 12/02/17 Challenger Cherbourg Qual | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Martineau
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 21/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Cesar Bouchelaghem Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Borna Gojo Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Emile Hudd Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Billy Blaydes Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Daniel Masur
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Borna Gojo Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 13/09 | Adrien Gobat Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 09/09 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Dan Added Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Martineau vs Daniel Masur?
Our model gives 54% to Daniel Masur, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.