Tennis · W15 Monastir · 23/09, 10:30
Prediction: Arina Arifullina vs Kseniia Ruchkina
Team pages: Arina Arifullina · Kseniia Ruchkina
Prediction summary
Winner
Arina Arifullina
Kseniia Ruchkina
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Arina Arifullina
6-4 (W-L)
Kseniia Ruchkina
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arina Arifullina 1546 · Kseniia Ruchkina 1494
| Arina Arifullina | Kseniia Ruchkina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arina Arifullina (rating 1546 vs 1494).
- Note: Kseniia Ruchkina makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Arina Arifullina | Kseniia Ruchkina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-7.3 | 9.5-8.6 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 48% | 59.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arina Arifullina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Irem Kurt W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Ekaterina Kuznetsova W15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Satima Toregen W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Su Jeong Jang W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Daria Zelinskaya W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Ying Zhang WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/06 | Lenka Munzarova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Yelyzaveta Chainykova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Kseniia Ruchkina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Marine Szostak W15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/12 | Jana Fett ITF W50 Selva Gardena · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/11 | Nicole Gadient ITF W50 Selva Gardena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/11 | Deborah Chiesa ITF W15 Solarino |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 06/11 | Angelica Sara ITF W15 Solarino |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/11 | Fiona Ganz ITF W15 Solarino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/10 | Maria Toma ITF W15 Solarino |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Aurora Nosei ITF W15 Solarino |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/10 | Alessandra Fiorillo ITF W15 Solarino |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/09 | Ophelie Boullay W15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arina Arifullina vs Kseniia Ruchkina?
Our model gives 56% to Kseniia Ruchkina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.