Tennis · WTA Porto · 23/09, 13:30

Prediction: Ayana Akli vs Gabriela Knutson

Team pages: Ayana Akli · Gabriela Knutson

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Ayana Akli Gabriela Knutson
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ayana Akli 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWWLLLW
Gabriela Knutson 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ayana Akli 1523 · Gabriela Knutson 1600
Ayana AkliGabriela Knutson
Our model39%61%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriela Knutson (rating 1523 vs 1600).

Statistics

Ayana AkliGabriela Knutson
Win %60%80%
Win % · Hard 33% (3) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.6-0.6
Games (G-P)10.5-8.611.7-8.8
Aces0.83
Double faults2.43.7
1st serve %60.7%66.3%
Break %47.4%50.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ayana Akli

WLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Anouk Koevermans
WTA Porto · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
15/09 Noma Noha Akugue
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
24/08 Mia Ristic
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 13-13 L
08/08 Anastasia Zakharova
W100 Landisville
0-2 7-13 L
07/08 Carolyn Ansari
W100 Landisville
2-1 14-11 W
05/08 Priscilla Hon
W100 Landisville
2-0 12-2 W
02/08 Anastasia Kulikova
W75 Lexington
0-2 9-13 L
01/08 Fiona Crawley
W75 Lexington
2-0 11-6 W
31/07 Hanna Chang
W75 Lexington
2-0 12-5 W
30/07 Janae Preston
W75 Lexington
2-0 12-6 W

Gabriela Knutson

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Katherine Sebov
WTA Porto · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
20/09 Lisa Pigato
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
19/09 Mia Pohankova
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-1 18-15 W
18/09 Malaika Rapolu
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-1 13-12 W
17/09 Anouk Koevermans
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
15/09 Aoi Ito
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
01/09 Eva Lys
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
27/08 Ekaterine Gorgodze
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
26/08 Dominika Salkova
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
25/08 Varvara Lepchenko
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 13-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ayana Akli vs Gabriela Knutson?

Our model gives 63% to Gabriela Knutson, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.