Tennis · WTA Porto · 25/09, 15:30

Prediction: Maria Timofeeva vs Gabriela Knutson

Team pages: Maria Timofeeva · Gabriela Knutson

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Maria Timofeeva Gabriela Knutson
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Timofeeva 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWLWWLWW
Gabriela Knutson 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maria Timofeeva 1565 · Gabriela Knutson 1583
Maria TimofeevaGabriela Knutson
Our model47%53%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Gabriela Knutson makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Maria TimofeevaGabriela Knutson
Win %70%80%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.6-0.7
Games (G-P)10.6-9.812.1-9.7
Aces1.93.4
Double faults3.84.3
1st serve %63.3%66%
Break %49.3%49.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maria Timofeeva

WWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
WTA Porto · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
22/09 Sofia Johnson
WTA Porto · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
03/09 Elise Mertens
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
31/08 Tamara Zidansek
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
25/08 Shuai Zhang
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
23/08 Kamilla Rakhimova
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-1 16-15 W
22/08 Lanlana Tararudee
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-1 16-18 W
23/07 Sara Bejlek
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
21/07 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Prague · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
14/07 Ann Li
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Gabriela Knutson

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Ayana Akli
WTA Porto · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
22/09 Katherine Sebov
WTA Porto · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
20/09 Lisa Pigato
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
19/09 Mia Pohankova
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-1 18-15 W
18/09 Malaika Rapolu
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-1 13-12 W
17/09 Anouk Koevermans
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
15/09 Aoi Ito
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
01/09 Eva Lys
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
27/08 Ekaterine Gorgodze
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
26/08 Dominika Salkova
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maria Timofeeva vs Gabriela Knutson?

Our model gives 58% to Maria Timofeeva, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.