Tennis · WTA Porto · 26/09, 13:30
Prediction: Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova
Team pages: Maria Timofeeva · Mia Pohankova
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Timofeeva
Mia Pohankova
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Timofeeva
7-3 (W-L)
Mia Pohankova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Timofeeva 1600 · Mia Pohankova 1576
| Maria Timofeeva | Mia Pohankova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maria Timofeeva | Mia Pohankova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.9 | 11.7-9.1 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 57.6% | 56.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Timofeeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Sofia Johnson WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Elise Mertens US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Tamara Zidansek US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Shuai Zhang WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 23/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Mia Pohankova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Katie Swan WTA Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 24/09 | Veronika Podrez WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Francisca Jorge WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Kylie Collins WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/09 | Matilde Jorge WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Sinja Kraus WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/08 | Katie Volynets WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Timofeeva vs Mia Pohankova?
Our model gives 55% to Maria Timofeeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.