Tennis · WTA Porto · 24/09, 11:00

Prediction: Maria Timofeeva vs Kajsa Rinaldo Persson

Team pages: Maria Timofeeva · Kajsa Rinaldo Persson

Prediction summary
Winner
71% 29%
Maria Timofeeva Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Timofeeva 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWLWWLW
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maria Timofeeva 1554 · Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 1496
Maria TimofeevaKajsa Rinaldo Persson
Our model58%42%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Timofeeva (rating 1554 vs 1496).
  • Note: Maria Timofeeva makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Maria TimofeevaKajsa Rinaldo Persson
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 67% (9) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.2-1.2
Games (G-P)10.3-10.911.4-10.7
Aces1.81.4
Double faults43.4
1st serve %61.9%59.4%
Break %49.3%59.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maria Timofeeva

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Sofia Johnson
WTA Porto · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
03/09 Elise Mertens
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
31/08 Tamara Zidansek
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
25/08 Shuai Zhang
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
23/08 Kamilla Rakhimova
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-1 16-15 W
22/08 Lanlana Tararudee
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-1 16-18 W
23/07 Sara Bejlek
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
21/07 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Prague · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
14/07 Ann Li
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
02/07 Elise Mertens
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 9-14 L

Kajsa Rinaldo Persson

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Carla Tomai
WTA Porto · Hard
2-0 12-0 W
16/09 Lisa Pigato
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
1-2 12-14 L
15/09 Angelina Voloshchuk
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
25/08 Lola Radivojevic
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
30/07 Eva Bennemann
W75 Hechingen
1-2 14-17 L
29/07 Ida Wobker
W75 Hechingen
2-0 13-7 W
22/07 Beatrise Zeltina
W75 Cordenons
1-2 12-13 L
21/07 Marta Lombardini
W75 Cordenons
2-0 12-8 W
13/07 Darya Astakhova
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
08/07 Kaitlin Quevedo
WTA Bastad · Clay
1-2 15-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maria Timofeeva vs Kajsa Rinaldo Persson?

Our model gives 71% to Maria Timofeeva, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.