Tennis · W35 Sharm El Sheikh · 23/09, 11:30
Prediction: Liel Marlies Rothensteiner vs Mara Guth
Team pages: Liel Marlies Rothensteiner · Mara Guth
Prediction summary
Winner
Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
Mara Guth
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
5-5 (W-L)
Mara Guth
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Liel Marlies Rothensteiner 1516 · Mara Guth 1503
| Liel Marlies Rothensteiner | Mara Guth | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Liel Marlies Rothensteiner makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Mara Guth makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Liel Marlies Rothensteiner | Mara Guth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.5 | 11-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 53.5% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Yuliya Hatouka W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Leonie Rabl W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Nelli Ivanova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Astana |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Daria Kuznetsova W15 Astana |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Polina Sleptsova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/07 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Haruna Arakawa W15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 28/07 | Linara Bulesheva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Mara Guth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Margarita Betova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Valentina Ryser W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Margaux Komano W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 21/08 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W35 Verbier |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Karolina Kozakova W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/08 | Michaela Bayerlova W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 26/07 | Merel Hoedt W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liel Marlies Rothensteiner vs Mara Guth?
Our model gives 69% to Mara Guth, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.