Tennis · W35 Sharm El Sheikh · 23/09, 08:30
Prediction: Joody Elkady vs Ksenia Smirnova
Team pages: Joody Elkady · Ksenia Smirnova
Prediction summary
Winner
Joody Elkady
Ksenia Smirnova
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Joody Elkady
5-5 (W-L)
Ksenia Smirnova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joody Elkady 1442 · Ksenia Smirnova 1545
| Joody Elkady | Ksenia Smirnova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ksenia Smirnova (rating 1442 vs 1545).
- Ksenia Smirnova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Ksenia Smirnova makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Joody Elkady | Ksenia Smirnova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-11 | 10.3-8.7 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 54.3% | 56.8% |
| Break % | 58.4% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joody Elkady
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Alyssa Reguer W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-1 | 5-9 | L |
| 26/08 | Wozuko Mdlulwa W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Daniela Darta Feldmane W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 24/06 | Natalia Sousa Salazar W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 21/05 | Olga Danilova W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Beatrice Veltri W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/05 | Zoziya Kardava W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 06/05 | Daria Koreshkova W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/04 | Sofia Martianova W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Ksenia Smirnova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Astrid Cirotte W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Dominika Podhajecka W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Emma Van Poppel W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-0 | W |
| 11/07 | Polina Leykina W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Isabella Kruger W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Danielle Dai Chapman W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Dominika Podhajecka W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Jenny Duerst W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Nelise Verster W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Valentina Khrebtova W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joody Elkady vs Ksenia Smirnova?
Our model gives 76% to Ksenia Smirnova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.