Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 24/09, 10:00

Prediction: Daniil Glinka vs Ugo Blanchet

Team pages: Daniil Glinka · Ugo Blanchet

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Daniil Glinka Ugo Blanchet
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Daniil Glinka 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWLLWWW
Ugo Blanchet 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLLWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Daniil Glinka 1531 · Ugo Blanchet 1501
Daniil GlinkaUgo Blanchet
Our model54%46%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Daniil GlinkaUgo Blanchet
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.3-1.3
Games (G-P)11.8-10.314-13.3
Aces5.24.8
Double faults3.23
1st serve %71.3%73.1%
Break %60.3%25.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Daniil Glinka

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Daniel Jade
Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
11/09 Titouan Droguet
Challenger Cassis · Hard
1-2 11-16 L
07/09 Ryan Peniston
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
02/09 Daniel Rincon
Challenger Manacor · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
26/08 Zsombor Piros
US Open · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
25/08 Pedro Martinez
US Open · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
22/08 Pedro Martinez
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
20/08 Harold Mayot
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
19/08 Elias Ymer
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
18/08 Florent Bax
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-1 14-9 W

Ugo Blanchet

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/09 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Challenger Rennes · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
14/09 Billy Harris
Challenger Rennes · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
11/09 Daniel Masur
Challenger Cassis · Hard
1-2 16-15 L
09/09 Daniel Rincon
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-1 15-12 W
08/09 Laurent Lokoli
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
24/08 Otto Virtanen
US Open · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
19/08 Stefanos Sakellaridis
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
18/08 James Watt
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
2-1 19-14 W
17/08 Stefano Napolitano
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
12/08 Rei Sakamoto
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
1-2 19-20 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Daniil Glinka vs Ugo Blanchet?

Our model gives 54% to Daniil Glinka, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.