Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 24/09, 10:00
Prediction: Thomas Faurel vs Mark Lajal
Team pages: Thomas Faurel · Mark Lajal
Prediction summary
Winner
Thomas Faurel
Mark Lajal
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Thomas Faurel
6-4 (W-L)
Mark Lajal
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thomas Faurel 1510 · Mark Lajal 1593
| Thomas Faurel | Mark Lajal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mark Lajal (rating 1510 vs 1593).
- Mark Lajal is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Thomas Faurel | Mark Lajal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.1 | 13.1-9.1 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 76.1% |
| Break % | 35.7% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thomas Faurel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 17/09 | Yannis Batsabaken M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/09 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Mark Lajal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | David Goffin Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/09 | Lenny Couturier Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thomas Faurel vs Mark Lajal?
Our model gives 69% to Mark Lajal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.