Tennis · M25 Yinchuan · 23/09, 05:30
Prediction: Reiya Komagata vs Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Team pages: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Reiya Komagata
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Reiya Komagata
4-6 (W-L)
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Reiya Komagata 1449 · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1607
| Reiya Komagata | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 71% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (rating 1449 vs 1607).
- Mohamed Aziz Dougaz is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Reiya Komagata | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-12.8 | 12.5-8.4 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 75.7% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reiya Komagata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Ryoma Cogan M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Ryuichiro Nakano M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 27/08 | Enzo Aguiard M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Shaoyun Liu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Vladimir Osminkin M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Stefan Storch M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Shu Muto M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Jorge Plans M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Edison Ambarzumjan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Daniele Augenti M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/08 | Andrea Guerrieri US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Kyrian Jacquet US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/08 | Federico Agustin Gomez US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reiya Komagata vs Mohamed Aziz Dougaz?
Our model gives 84% to Mohamed Aziz Dougaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.