Tennis · M25 Yinchuan · 24/09, 04:00
Prediction: Alexandr Binda vs Nikolai Barsukov
Team pages: Alexandr Binda · Nikolai Barsukov
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandr Binda
Nikolai Barsukov
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandr Binda
6-4 (W-L)
Nikolai Barsukov
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandr Binda 1547 · Nikolai Barsukov 1534
| Alexandr Binda | Nikolai Barsukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Alexandr Binda dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 42.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Alexandr Binda | Nikolai Barsukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.7 | 12.9-11.6 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 32.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandr Binda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 15/09 | Aoran Wang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Kousuke Ogura Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Mikalai Haliak Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | Cheng-Peng Hsieh Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/08 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Nikolai Barsukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Seonyong Han M25 Yinchuan |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Yue Xia M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Yuquan Jin M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Romain Faucon M25 Meerbusch |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Christian Djonov M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Jakub Filip M15 Allershausen |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Thilo Behrmann M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/08 | David Fix M25 Ueberlingen |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandr Binda vs Nikolai Barsukov?
Our model gives 67% to Alexandr Binda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.