Tennis · M25 Yinchuan · 26/09, 04:00
Prediction: Alibek Kachmazov vs Mukund Sasikumar
Team pages: Alibek Kachmazov · Mukund Sasikumar
Prediction summary
Winner
Alibek Kachmazov
Mukund Sasikumar
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alibek Kachmazov
8-2 (W-L)
Mukund Sasikumar
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alibek Kachmazov 1622 · Mukund Sasikumar 1521
| Alibek Kachmazov | Mukund Sasikumar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alibek Kachmazov (rating 1622 vs 1521).
- Alibek Kachmazov dominates on serve: 9.6 aces and 54.1% break avg.
- Mukund Sasikumar dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 45.8% break avg.
- Alibek Kachmazov is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alibek Kachmazov | Mukund Sasikumar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-8 | 13.6-10.8 |
| Aces | 9.6 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 79.4% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alibek Kachmazov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Sheng Tang M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Chase Ferguson M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Xirui Han M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Robin Catry M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Qian Sun M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Shaoyun Liu M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Louis Wessels Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Mukund Sasikumar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Chan-Yeong Oh M25 Yinchuan |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Nick Beamish M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Robin Catry M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Sheng Tang M25 Guiyang |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 16/09 | Zak Talic M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Tri Srisen M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 10/08 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alibek Kachmazov vs Mukund Sasikumar?
Our model gives 73% to Alibek Kachmazov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.