Tennis · M25 Yinchuan · 23/09, 04:00

Prediction: Shaoyun Liu vs Yue Xia

Team pages: Shaoyun Liu · Yue Xia

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Shaoyun Liu Yue Xia
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Shaoyun Liu 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLWWLLW
Yue Xia 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLLLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shaoyun Liu 1453 · Yue Xia 1457
Shaoyun LiuYue Xia
Our model49%51%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Shaoyun LiuYue Xia
Win %30%40%
Win % · Hard 33% (9) 17% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.50.9-1.2
Games (G-P)8.7-119.1-10.1
Aces2.61
Double faults3.51.4
1st serve %64.8%61.4%
Break %31.5%32.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shaoyun Liu

WWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Alibek Kachmazov
M25 Guiyang
1-2 9-18 L
09/09 Shijie Chen
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 4-7 L
03/09 Colin Sinclair
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
02/09 Zicong Wang
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
01/09 Mingliang Yue
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
26/08 Reiya Komagata
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 14-16 L
25/08 Xin Zhou
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-1 12-12 W
24/06 Xirui Han
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
27/05 Yan Cheng Chen
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
22/04 S D Prajwal Dev
M25 Luzhou · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Yue Xia

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Shengyu Wang
M25 Yinchuan
2-0 12-1 W
17/09 Nikolai Barsukov
M25 Guiyang
1-2 14-16 L
16/09 Stefan Vujic
M25 Guiyang
2-0 13-9 W
15/09 Dong Kyu Lee
M25 Guiyang
2-0 12-6 W
09/09 Hiromasa Koyama
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
08/09 Ivan Dorokhov
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
01/09 Alex Jones
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
25/08 Yua Taka
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
15/07 Duckhee Lee
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
14/07 Xinyuan Xie
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shaoyun Liu vs Yue Xia?

Our model gives 57% to Yue Xia, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.