Tennis · W50 Berkeley · 22/09, 22:00
Prediction: Hanna Chang vs Kailey Evans
Team pages: Kailey Evans
Prediction summary
Winner
Hanna Chang
Kailey Evans
Estimated games
18.8
Recent form · 10 last
Hanna Chang
6-4 (W-L)
Kailey Evans
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hanna Chang 1542 · Kailey Evans 1602
| Hanna Chang | Kailey Evans | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kailey Evans (rating 1542 vs 1602).
Statistics
| Hanna Chang | Kailey Evans | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.6 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-6.4 | 11.8-5.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 53.9% | 67.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hanna Chang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Elizabeth Mandlik W100 Landisville |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 04/08 | Dalayna Hewitt W100 Landisville |
1-1 | 6-4 | W |
| 31/07 | Ayana Akli W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Jantje Tilbuerger W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Sofia Johnson W100 Evansville |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 21/07 | Ellie Myers W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Lexington Reed W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Christasha McNeil W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Kailey Evans
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Katja Wiersholm UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Simone Kay UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/09 | Kiara Zabkova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Anya Murthy UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/08 | Kelly Keller UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Tanvi Pandey UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/08 | Renee Huang UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Bella Lewis UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hanna Chang vs Kailey Evans?
Our model gives 53% to Hanna Chang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.