Tennis · W50 Berkeley · 23/09, 19:00
Prediction: Ena Koike vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Team pages: Ena Koike · Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Prediction summary
Winner
Ena Koike
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Ena Koike
6-4 (W-L)
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ena Koike 1468 · Lucciana Perez Alarcon 1529
| Ena Koike | Lucciana Perez Alarcon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucciana Perez Alarcon (rating 1468 vs 1529).
- Note: Ena Koike makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Ena Koike | Lucciana Perez Alarcon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.4 | 10.8-8.8 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 65% |
| Break % | 59.5% | 58.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ena Koike
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Laura Valentina Villamil Arias WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Kylie Collins W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Sakura Hosogi W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Kaede Usui W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Granby |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Miho Kuramochi W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Isabella Marton W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Fangran Tian WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 08/08 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Chacabuco |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/08 | Lorena Schaedel W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/08 | Melina Maria Maruca W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/07 | Daria Egorova W35 Pergamino |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Luna Maria Cinalli W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Marina Bulbarella W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/07 | Julia Riera W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Daria Egorova W75 Vacaria |
2-1 | 15-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ena Koike vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon?
Our model gives 53% to Lucciana Perez Alarcon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.