Tennis · W50 Berkeley · 22/09, 19:00
Prediction: Olivia Lincer vs Maria Sholokhova
Team pages: Maria Sholokhova
Prediction summary
Winner
Olivia Lincer
Maria Sholokhova
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Olivia Lincer
5-5 (W-L)
Maria Sholokhova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olivia Lincer 1487 · Maria Sholokhova 1566
| Olivia Lincer | Maria Sholokhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Sholokhova (rating 1487 vs 1566).
- Maria Sholokhova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Maria Sholokhova makes many double faults (8.7/match).
Statistics
| Olivia Lincer | Maria Sholokhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-8.7 | 10.8-7.1 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 8.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 60.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olivia Lincer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Ela Plosnik W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/08 | Clervie Ngounoue W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Anastasia Kulikova W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Hina Inoue W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Avery Alexander W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Tatum Evans W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Ana Grubor W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Sophie Williams W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Maria Sholokhova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Adriana Reami W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Edda Mamedova W15 Astana |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 30/07 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Sabrina Olimjanova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/07 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W15 Astana |
0-1 | 2-6 | L |
| 17/07 | Ekaterina Maklakova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Yashaswini Panwar W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Kira Bataikina W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Ekaterina Maklakova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olivia Lincer vs Maria Sholokhova?
Our model gives 57% to Maria Sholokhova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.