Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 22/09, 11:30
Prediction: Daniil Glinka vs Daniel Jade
Team pages: Daniil Glinka · Daniel Jade
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniil Glinka
Daniel Jade
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Daniil Glinka
6-4 (W-L)
Daniel Jade
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniil Glinka 1504 · Daniel Jade 1572
| Daniil Glinka | Daniel Jade | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Jade (rating 1504 vs 1572).
- Daniil Glinka dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 62.3% break avg.
- Daniel Jade is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Daniil Glinka | Daniel Jade | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.7 | 12.2-9.5 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 62.3% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniil Glinka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/09 | Ryan Peniston Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Zsombor Piros US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Pedro Martinez US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Harold Mayot Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Elias Ymer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Florent Bax Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
Daniel Jade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Mathys Domenc Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 20/09 | Ryan Peniston Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/08 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Mathys Domenc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Rahul Dhokia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Sean Cuenin M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 0-8 | L |
| 17/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 16/07 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Alexandre Aubriot M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniil Glinka vs Daniel Jade?
Our model gives 56% to Daniil Glinka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.