Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 22/09, 14:30
Prediction: Harold Mayot vs Justin Boulais
Team pages: Harold Mayot · Justin Boulais
Prediction summary
Winner
Harold Mayot
Justin Boulais
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Harold Mayot
6-4 (W-L)
Justin Boulais
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harold Mayot 1566 · Justin Boulais 1462
| Harold Mayot | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harold Mayot (rating 1566 vs 1462).
- Harold Mayot is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Justin Boulais makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Harold Mayot | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.8 | 11-12.1 |
| Aces | 5 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 75.4% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 33.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harold Mayot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Clement Tabur Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 12/09 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Max Purcell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Justin Boulais
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Theo Arribage Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/09 | Matis Roche Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Adam Walton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Connor Church Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harold Mayot vs Justin Boulais?
Our model gives 71% to Harold Mayot, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.