Tennis · WTA Porto · 22/09, 15:00

Prediction: Valentina Steiner vs Caroline Werner

Team pages: Valentina Steiner · Caroline Werner

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Valentina Steiner Caroline Werner
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Valentina Steiner 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWLLWLW
Caroline Werner 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLWWLLL
Head-to-head
Valentina Steiner 0–1 Caroline Werner (1 last)
  • 15 Jul0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valentina Steiner 1561 · Caroline Werner 1485
Valentina SteinerCaroline Werner
Our model61%39%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentina Steiner (rating 1561 vs 1485).
  • Valentina Steiner is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Valentina Steiner 0–1 Caroline Werner (1).
  • Note: Valentina Steiner makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Valentina SteinerCaroline Werner
Win %70%40%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.11.1-1.4
Games (G-P)11.9-10.711.9-11.9
Aces0.41.7
Double faults4.23.2
1st serve %57.5%60.9%
Break %52.5%49.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

H2H · Valentina Steiner 01 Caroline Werner (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Valentina Steiner 01 Caroline Werner

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DateSetsGamesRes.
15/07/25
WTA Hamburg
0-28-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valentina Steiner

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Kylie Collins
WTA Porto · Hard
2-1 13-14 W
17/09 Marta Lombardini
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
16/09 Romane Longueville
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-1 18-12 W
08/09 Jessica Pieri
W35 Reus · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
28/08 Gabriela Ce
W35 Trieste
0-2 7-12 L
27/08 Federica Sacco
W35 Trieste
2-0 12-4 W
26/08 Federica Trevisan
W35 Trieste
2-1 14-12 W
26/08 Viola Turini
W35 Trieste
2-0 12-7 W
23/08 Josy Daems
W35 Erwitte
2-1 15-10 W
22/08 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W35 Erwitte
2-1 13-11 W

Caroline Werner

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Malaika Rapolu
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
05/09 Hannah Klugman
W50 Leiria
1-2 18-17 L
04/09 Oceane Dodin
W50 Leiria
2-1 14-12 W
03/09 Elena Micic
W50 Leiria
2-0 13-9 W
02/09 Veronika Podrez
W50 Leiria
2-1 16-10 W
22/08 Darja Vidmanova
WTA Monterrey · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
30/07 Laura Pigossi
W100 Gran Canaria
0-2 6-11 L
28/07 Gabriela Paun
W100 Gran Canaria
2-0 13-7 W
21/07 Mina Hodzic
WTA Palermo · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
12/07 Ilinca D Amariei
WTA Iasi · Clay
1-2 12-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valentina Steiner vs Caroline Werner?

Our model gives 54% to Caroline Werner, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.