Tennis · WTA Porto · 22/09, 13:30

Prediction: Maria Timofeeva vs Sofia Johnson

Team pages: Maria Timofeeva · Sofia Johnson

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Maria Timofeeva Sofia Johnson
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Timofeeva 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLWLWWL
Sofia Johnson 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maria Timofeeva 1535 · Sofia Johnson 1539
Maria TimofeevaSofia Johnson
Our model49%51%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Maria TimofeevaSofia Johnson
Win %60%70%
Win % · Hard 63% (8) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.5-0.8
Games (G-P)10.3-10.811.3-8.4
Aces1.91.7
Double faults3.82.4
1st serve %60.9%64.5%
Break %52%47.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maria Timofeeva

WWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Elise Mertens
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
31/08 Tamara Zidansek
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
25/08 Shuai Zhang
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
23/08 Kamilla Rakhimova
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-1 16-15 W
22/08 Lanlana Tararudee
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-1 16-18 W
23/07 Sara Bejlek
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
21/07 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Prague · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
14/07 Ann Li
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
02/07 Elise Mertens
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 9-14 L
30/06 Beatriz Haddad Maia
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-5 W

Sofia Johnson

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Reese Brantmeier
WTA Porto · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
20/09 Ivana Sebestova
WTA Porto · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/09 Malaika Rapolu
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
13/09 Margaux Rouvroy
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
12/09 Matilde Jorge
W50 Evora
1-2 10-13 L
11/09 Kayla Cross
W50 Evora
2-1 18-15 W
10/09 Xinyu Gao
W50 Evora
2-0 12-4 W
08/09 Oceane Dodin
W50 Evora
2-1 16-10 W
07/09 Mary Lewis
W50 Evora
2-0 12-7 W
06/09 Isabella Marton
W50 Evora
2-0 12-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maria Timofeeva vs Sofia Johnson?

Our model gives 62% to Maria Timofeeva, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.