Prediction: Louis Larue vs James Connel
Team pages: Louis Larue · James Connel
Prediction summary
Winner
Louis Larue
James Connel
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Louis Larue
6-4 (W-L)
James Connel
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Louis Larue 1483 · James Connel 1490
| Louis Larue | James Connel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Louis Larue makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Louis Larue | James Connel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-11 | 9.2-9.1 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 57.8% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Louis Larue
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Kael Shalin Shah M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/08 | Jorge Plans M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Skander Nsairi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Stefan Seifert M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Erik Johansson M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Jeri Lassila M15 Turku |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Aryan Shah M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Lui Maxted M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Romain Andres M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
James Connel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Damien Salvestre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Ali Yazdani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 10/09 | Kasra Rahmani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Taym Alazmeh M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Christian Langmo M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Nick Hardt M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/04 | Hunter Heck M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Kian Vakili M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/04 | Lucca C Pignaton M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/04 | Gauthier Onclin M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Louis Larue vs James Connel?
Our model gives 67% to James Connel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.