Tennis · M15 Baku · 22/09, 09:30

Prediction: Ivan Gretskiy vs Thomas Drayton

Team pages: Ivan Gretskiy · Thomas Drayton

Prediction summary
Winner
60% 40%
Ivan Gretskiy Thomas Drayton
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Gretskiy 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLLLLLWL
Thomas Drayton 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ivan Gretskiy 1489 · Thomas Drayton 1474
Ivan GretskiyThomas Drayton
Our model52%48%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Ivan Gretskiy makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Ivan GretskiyThomas Drayton
Win %40%40%
Win % · Clay 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1-1.50.9-1.2
Games (G-P)10.6-128.2-9.5
Aces4.31.1
Double faults4.43.8
1st serve %69.9%63.5%
Break %38.1%28%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ivan Gretskiy

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/09 Keshav Chopra
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W
16/09 Aldin Setkic
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 7-1 W
09/09 Pranav Karthik
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 14-12 W
02/09 Michal Krajci
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 16-18 L
26/08 Jake Fellows
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
07/08 Pawit Sornlaksup
M15 Astana
1-2 13-12 L
06/08 Yerassyl Yerdilda
M15 Astana
2-1 16-15 W
30/07 Dan Brand
M15 Astana
0-2 4-12 L
15/07 Antoni Fabre
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
27/05 Mariano Tammaro
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Thomas Drayton

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Oleg Kolninov
M15 Baku
2-0 12-5 W
12/08 Jeremy Gschwendtner
M15 Warsaw
0-2 6-12 L
11/08 Filip Kosinski
M15 Warsaw
2-0 12-6 W
02/08 Pablo Perez Ramos
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
26/07 Niels Villard
M15 Dublin
0-2 8-12 L
13/07 Iker Urribarrens
M15 Castelo Branco
1-2 7-11 L
20/05 Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/05 Rayen Hermassi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
13/05 John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
12/05 Thomas George Brun
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ivan Gretskiy vs Thomas Drayton?

Our model gives 60% to Ivan Gretskiy, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.