Prediction: Kerem Yilmaz vs Egor Agafonov
Team pages: Kerem Yilmaz · Egor Agafonov
Prediction summary
Winner
Kerem Yilmaz
Egor Agafonov
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Kerem Yilmaz
7-3 (W-L)
Egor Agafonov
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kerem Yilmaz 1504 · Egor Agafonov 1396
| Kerem Yilmaz | Egor Agafonov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kerem Yilmaz (rating 1504 vs 1396).
- Kerem Yilmaz is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Kerem Yilmaz makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Egor Agafonov makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Kerem Yilmaz | Egor Agafonov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 0% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-12.7 | 8.6-11.9 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 58.3% | 38.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kerem Yilmaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Marat Salbiev M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-1 | 10-11 | L |
| 11/08 | Vesa Ahti M15 Turku |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 02/08 | Maxim Zhukov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 27/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/07 | S Mert Ozdemir M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Elijah Strode M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/06 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Matas Vasiliauskas M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
Egor Agafonov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Taiyo Yamanaka Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Radu David Turcanu Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Martin Borisiouk M15 Astana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Kacper Knitter M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Ivan Iutkin M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Dmitrii Burtsev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/03 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 17/03 | Karlis Ozolins M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/03 | Maxim Zhukov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kerem Yilmaz vs Egor Agafonov?
Our model gives 61% to Kerem Yilmaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.