Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 22/09, 10:00

Prediction: Hugo Grenier vs Thomas Faurel

Team pages: Hugo Grenier · Thomas Faurel

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Hugo Grenier Thomas Faurel
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Grenier 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWLLLWW
Thomas Faurel 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWLWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hugo Grenier 1505 · Thomas Faurel 1477
Hugo GrenierThomas Faurel
Our model54%46%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Hugo Grenier makes many double faults (4.5/match).

Statistics

Hugo GrenierThomas Faurel
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.11-1.3
Games (G-P)11.1-10.710.5-11.6
Aces6.32.6
Double faults4.51.6
1st serve %74.5%67.6%
Break %33.3%36%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hugo Grenier

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Vadym Ursu
Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
20/09 Christian Langmo
Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
07/09 Billy Harris
Challenger Cassis · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
01/09 Billy Harris
Challenger Manacor · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
26/08 Sebastian Baez
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
25/08 Roman Safiullin
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
23/08 Mees Rottgering
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
22/08 Neil Oberleitner
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
17/08 Dali Blanch
Challenger Cancun · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
13/07 Cyril Vandermeersch
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Thomas Faurel

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Andreja Petrovic
M25 Nevers
1-2 9-18 L
17/09 Yannis Batsabaken
M25 Nevers
2-0 12-4 W
15/09 Adan Freire Da Silva
M25 Nevers
2-1 16-12 W
04/09 Dusan Obradovic
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
01/09 Giorgio Tabacco
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 14-10 W
25/08 Marvin Moeller
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
17/08 Cezar Cretu
Challenger Prague · Clay
1-2 12-14 L
13/08 Nicolas Kicker
Challenger Todi · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
11/08 Facundo Mena
Challenger Todi · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
28/07 Timofey Skatov
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 7-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hugo Grenier vs Thomas Faurel?

Our model gives 57% to Hugo Grenier, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.