Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 22/09, 10:00
Prediction: Titouan Droguet vs Karl Poling
Team pages: Titouan Droguet · Karl Poling
Prediction summary
Winner
Titouan Droguet
Karl Poling
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Titouan Droguet
7-3 (W-L)
Karl Poling
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Titouan Droguet 1616 · Karl Poling 1485
| Titouan Droguet | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Titouan Droguet (rating 1616 vs 1485).
- Titouan Droguet dominates on serve: 8.4 aces and 40.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Titouan Droguet | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.8-11.7 | 13.5-12.7 |
| Aces | 8.4 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 36.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Titouan Droguet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Borna Gojo Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/09 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Daniel Rincon US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Karl Poling
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Nikola Slavic Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 25/08 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 16/08 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 15/08 | Nikita Filin M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 14/08 | Axel Nefve M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Thomas Fancutt M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Jesse Flores M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Titouan Droguet vs Karl Poling?
Our model gives 81% to Titouan Droguet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.