Tennis · UTR Pro Norfolk · 24/09, 20:30
Prediction: Ryan Morgan vs Drew Hedgecoe
Team pages: Drew Hedgecoe
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Morgan
Drew Hedgecoe
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Morgan
2-8 (W-L)
Drew Hedgecoe
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Morgan 1426 · Drew Hedgecoe 1454
| Ryan Morgan | Drew Hedgecoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ryan Morgan | Drew Hedgecoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.7 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 7-11.4 | 7.9-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 54% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 39.1% | 63.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Morgan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Julien Doitteau UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Jean Karim Olivier De Sardan UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Leo Matthysen UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Nolan Balthazor UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/05 | Sean Hill UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Sean Kamyshev UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Donald Nikolas Stoot UTR Pro Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Rudy Ceccon UTR Pro Baton Rouge · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/10 | William Freshwater UTR Pro Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Mats Bredschneijder UTR Pro Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Drew Hedgecoe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Julien Doitteau UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Radek Chodora UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Malo Poulesquen UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Thomas Cardona Herrera UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/09 | Jonatan Santiago Hidalgo UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Noey Do UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | James Quattro UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 26/06 | Tomas Jirousek UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Gregory Bernadsky UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Morgan vs Drew Hedgecoe?
Our model gives 59% to Drew Hedgecoe, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.