Tennis · M25 Yinchuan · 22/09, 07:00

Prediction: Filip Peliwo vs Xing Dao Chen

Team pages: Filip Peliwo · Xing Dao Chen

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Filip Peliwo Xing Dao Chen
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Filip Peliwo 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWWLWWL
Xing Dao Chen 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Filip Peliwo 1555 · Xing Dao Chen 1466
Filip PeliwoXing Dao Chen
Our model63%37%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filip Peliwo (rating 1555 vs 1466).

Statistics

Filip PeliwoXing Dao Chen
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11-1.4
Games (G-P)10.7-10.89-10.6
Aces4.80.6
Double faults3.33.1
1st serve %67.3%62.3%
Break %8.8%33.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Filip Peliwo

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Tai Leonard Sach
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-1 13-13 W
14/09 Sam Ryan Ziegann
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/09 Arjun Rathi
Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
11/09 Arthur Weber
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
10/09 Kenta Miyoshi
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
08/09 Grigoriy Lomakin
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-1 17-13 W
31/08 Omar Jasika
Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
30/08 Sheng Tang
Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
26/08 Joshua Charlton
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 12-15 L
18/08 Charles Broom
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 2-12 L

Xing Dao Chen

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/09 Tsung-Hao Huang
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
1-2 12-16 L
03/09 Yuta Tomida
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
02/09 Xirui Han
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
26/08 Hanyi Liu
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
18/08 Zhiheng Xia
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 9-9 L
09/07 Daniil Sarksian
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 6-11 L
08/07 Sheng Tang
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 16-10 W
07/07 Yuquan Jin
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 11-10 W
01/07 Yuta Tomida
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
30/06 Diordan Macababbad
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Filip Peliwo vs Xing Dao Chen?

Our model gives 70% to Filip Peliwo, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.