Tennis · M25 Yinchuan · 23/09, 04:00
Prediction: Dominik Palan vs Kuan-Shou Chen
Team pages: Dominik Palan · Kuan-Shou Chen
Prediction summary
Winner
Dominik Palan
Kuan-Shou Chen
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Dominik Palan
5-5 (W-L)
Kuan-Shou Chen
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dominik Palan 1469 · Kuan-Shou Chen 1550
| Dominik Palan | Kuan-Shou Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kuan-Shou Chen (rating 1469 vs 1550).
- Note: Dominik Palan makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Dominik Palan | Kuan-Shou Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-13 | 11.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 74.5% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 42% | 62.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dominik Palan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Ji Sung Nam Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Max Basing Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/07 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Kuan-Shou Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/08 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 28/08 | Hyeon Chung M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Omar Jasika M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/08 | Yu Hsiou Hsu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Yen-Chun Wang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 08/04 | Tianhui Zhang M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Max Basing M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/03 | Thanapet Chanta M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dominik Palan vs Kuan-Shou Chen?
Our model gives 60% to Kuan-Shou Chen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.