Tennis · M25 Yinchuan · 23/09, 04:00
Prediction: Chase Ferguson vs Nino Ehrenschneider
Team pages: Chase Ferguson · Nino Ehrenschneider
Prediction summary
Winner
Chase Ferguson
Nino Ehrenschneider
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Chase Ferguson
4-6 (W-L)
Nino Ehrenschneider
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chase Ferguson 1545 · Nino Ehrenschneider 1524
| Chase Ferguson | Nino Ehrenschneider | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Chase Ferguson | Nino Ehrenschneider | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.9 | 11.5-11.7 |
| Aces | 2 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 71% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chase Ferguson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Sheng Tang M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Zhenxiong Dong M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Minghui Zhang M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/09 | Jerry Roddick M25 Sapporo |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Sanhui Shin M25 Sapporo |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/09 | Yuki Mochizuki M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Riku Takahata M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Keisuke Saitoh M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Yusuke Takahashi M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Nino Ehrenschneider
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Guiyang |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 17/09 | Kai-I Wang M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/09 | Lingxi Zhao M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/09 | Eero Vasa M25 Meerbusch |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Aaron James Williams M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Aleksandr Braynin M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg M25 Lausanne |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 26/08 | Mateja Stanisavljevic M25 Lausanne |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 18/08 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chase Ferguson vs Nino Ehrenschneider?
Our model gives 52% to Nino Ehrenschneider, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.