Tennis · M25 Yinchuan · 23/09, 04:00
Prediction: Xirui Han vs Alibek Kachmazov
Team pages: Xirui Han · Alibek Kachmazov
Prediction summary
Winner
Xirui Han
Alibek Kachmazov
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Xirui Han
6-4 (W-L)
Alibek Kachmazov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xirui Han 1479 · Alibek Kachmazov 1564
| Xirui Han | Alibek Kachmazov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alibek Kachmazov (rating 1479 vs 1564).
- Alibek Kachmazov dominates on serve: 10 aces and 43.8% break avg.
- Alibek Kachmazov is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Xirui Han | Alibek Kachmazov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.6 | 14.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 10 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 77.3% | 79.9% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xirui Han
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Xiaoyin Yang M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Yuquan Jin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Rigele Te M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Sergey Fomin M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 25/08 | Natsuki Yamamoto M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Yunseong Chung M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Suk Ann M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Weiwen Pan M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Alibek Kachmazov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Robin Catry M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Qian Sun M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Shaoyun Liu M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Louis Wessels Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 06/08 | Sora Fukuda M15 Astana |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/04 | Anton Arzhankin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xirui Han vs Alibek Kachmazov?
Our model gives 78% to Alibek Kachmazov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.