Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 21/09, 10:00
Prediction: Murphy Cassone vs Patrick Zahraj
Team pages: Murphy Cassone · Patrick Zahraj
Prediction summary
Winner
Murphy Cassone
Patrick Zahraj
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Murphy Cassone
5-5 (W-L)
Patrick Zahraj
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Murphy Cassone
1–0
Patrick Zahraj
(1 last)
- 02 Jun2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Murphy Cassone 1550 · Patrick Zahraj 1504
| Murphy Cassone | Patrick Zahraj | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Murphy Cassone (rating 1550 vs 1504).
- Head-to-head: Murphy Cassone 1–0 Patrick Zahraj (1).
Statistics
| Murphy Cassone | Patrick Zahraj | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-11.2 | 11-10.5 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 75.2% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 56.9% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Murphy Cassone 1 – 0 Patrick Zahraj (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Murphy Cassone 1–0 Patrick Zahraj
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/25 Challenger Birmingham | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Murphy Cassone
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Hugo Car Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/06 | Alex Molcan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Filippo Romano ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Patrick Zahraj
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 14/09 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Mickael Kaouk M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Sven Corbinais M25 Plaisir |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Matisse Martin M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Mika Brunold Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Andrin Casanova M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Murphy Cassone vs Patrick Zahraj?
Our model gives 63% to Murphy Cassone, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.