Prediction: Veronika Podrez vs Madalena Matias
Team pages: Veronika Podrez · Madalena Matias
Prediction summary
Winner
Veronika Podrez
Madalena Matias
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Veronika Podrez
6-4 (W-L)
Madalena Matias
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Veronika Podrez 1499 · Madalena Matias 1419
| Veronika Podrez | Madalena Matias | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 96% | 4% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Veronika Podrez (rating 1499 vs 1419).
- Veronika Podrez is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Veronika Podrez makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Veronika Podrez | Madalena Matias | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.2-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.3 | 4.3-11.4 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 45% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 24.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Veronika Podrez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Anna Siskova W75 Le Neubourg |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Martha Matoula W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/09 | Manon Arcangioli W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Salma Djoubri W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Caroline Werner W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Bianca Andreescu US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Caroline Dolehide US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Elena Micic WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
Madalena Matias
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W50 Evora |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Han Shi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Teresa Franco Dias W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/05 | Charlotte Keitel W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Rebecca Sramkova Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/02 | Fiona Crawley WTA Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/02 | Milana Zhabrailova W50 Porto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/01 | Laura Mair W75 Porto |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/11 | Adrienn Nagy ITF W15 Lousada · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Veronika Podrez vs Madalena Matias?
Our model gives 81% to Veronika Podrez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.