Tennis · WTA Porto · 22/09, 11:00

Prediction: Francisca Jorge vs Mia Pohankova

Team pages: Francisca Jorge · Mia Pohankova

Prediction summary
Winner
38% 62%
Francisca Jorge Mia Pohankova
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Francisca Jorge 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWWLLWWL
Mia Pohankova 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLWLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Francisca Jorge 1516 · Mia Pohankova 1522
Francisca JorgeMia Pohankova
Our model49%51%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Francisca JorgeMia Pohankova
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 60% (5) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.21.2-1.2
Games (G-P)12.2-11.810.5-11
Aces2.13.1
Double faults3.43.6
1st serve %60%64.2%
Break %46.9%45.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Francisca Jorge

WLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Jeline Vandromme
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
1-2 15-19 L
17/09 Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
15/09 Xinyu Gao
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
11/09 Anastasia Gasanova
W50 Evora
0-2 3-12 L
10/09 Katarina Kuzmova
W50 Evora
2-1 16-12 W
09/09 Gabriella Da Silva Fick
W50 Evora
2-1 17-10 W
03/09 Chelsea Fontenel
W50 Leiria
1-2 14-14 L
02/09 Katarina Kuzmova
W50 Leiria
2-1 13-15 W
26/08 Mia Ristic
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
24/08 Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Mia Pohankova

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/09 Gabriela Knutson
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
1-2 15-18 L
18/09 Kylie Collins
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
16/09 Matilde Jorge
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
14/09 Sinja Kraus
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
25/08 Katie Volynets
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
23/08 Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
27/07 Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
1-2 11-16 L
13/07 Mia Ristic
WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
07/07 Ekaterine Gorgodze
W100 Aschaffenburg
1-2 7-13 L
23/06 Harmony Tan
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 13-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Francisca Jorge vs Mia Pohankova?

Our model gives 62% to Mia Pohankova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.