Prediction: Katherine Sebov vs Gabriela Knutson
Team pages: Katherine Sebov · Gabriela Knutson
Prediction summary
Winner
Katherine Sebov
Gabriela Knutson
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Katherine Sebov
4-6 (W-L)
Gabriela Knutson
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katherine Sebov
2–0
Gabriela Knutson
(2 last)
- 14 Jun2-0 12-6W
- 04 Mar2-1 16-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katherine Sebov 1458 · Gabriela Knutson 1560
| Katherine Sebov | Gabriela Knutson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriela Knutson (rating 1458 vs 1560).
- Gabriela Knutson is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Katherine Sebov 2–0 Gabriela Knutson (2).
- Note: Gabriela Knutson makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Katherine Sebov | Gabriela Knutson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-9.6 | 11.4-9.5 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 3 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 53.9% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
H2H · Katherine Sebov 2 – 0 Gabriela Knutson (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katherine Sebov 2–0 Gabriela Knutson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/24 ITF W75 Guimaraes | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/03/23 ITF W25 Toronto | 2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katherine Sebov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Julia Avdeeva US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Aoi Ito WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Aran Teixido Garcia WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Camila Soares WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Cadence Brace WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Gabriela Knutson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Lisa Pigato WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Mia Pohankova WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 18/09 | Malaika Rapolu WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 17/09 | Anouk Koevermans WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Aoi Ito WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Eva Lys US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Dominika Salkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Varvara Lepchenko US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katherine Sebov vs Gabriela Knutson?
Our model gives 69% to Gabriela Knutson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.