Tennis · M15 Baku · 21/09, 09:30

Prediction: Oleg Kolninov vs Thomas Drayton

Team pages: Thomas Drayton

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Oleg Kolninov Thomas Drayton
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Oleg Kolninov 3-7 (W-L)
WLLWLLWLLL
Thomas Drayton 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oleg Kolninov 1422 · Thomas Drayton 1459
Oleg KolninovThomas Drayton
Our model45%55%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Oleg KolninovThomas Drayton
Win %20%30%
Win % · Hard 0% (5) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.80.7-1.4
Games (G-P)8.5-12.38-10.3
Aces4.61.3
Double faults2.13.9
1st serve %59.9%63.3%
Break %29.4%30%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oleg Kolninov

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/09 Valentino Grippo
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L
14/09 Mikhail Khodorchenko
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-1 11-9 W
07/09 Dmitrii Burtsev
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
06/09 Ilya Ignatov
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-1 10-10 W
07/07 Niksa Arsic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
17/01 Ammar Elamin
UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
15/01 Noritaka Koizumi
UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
13/01 Taiyo Uenoyama
UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
12/01 Yuta Tomida
UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
02/12 Karim Mabrouk
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 8-8 L

Thomas Drayton

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Jeremy Gschwendtner
M15 Warsaw
0-2 6-12 L
11/08 Filip Kosinski
M15 Warsaw
2-0 12-6 W
02/08 Pablo Perez Ramos
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
26/07 Niels Villard
M15 Dublin
0-2 8-12 L
13/07 Iker Urribarrens
M15 Castelo Branco
1-2 7-11 L
20/05 Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/05 Rayen Hermassi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
13/05 John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
12/05 Thomas George Brun
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
04/05 Nemanja Malesevic
M25 Nottingham
0-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oleg Kolninov vs Thomas Drayton?

Our model gives 59% to Thomas Drayton, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.