Tennis · M15 Baku · 21/09, 08:00

Prediction: Andrea Bacaloni vs Aditya Kothari

Team pages: Andrea Bacaloni

Prediction summary
Winner
81% 19%
Andrea Bacaloni Aditya Kothari
Estimated games
18.4
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Bacaloni 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWWLLWWL
Aditya Kothari 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLWLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andrea Bacaloni 1497 · Aditya Kothari 1407
Andrea BacaloniAditya Kothari
Our model63%37%
Market96%4%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Bacaloni (rating 1497 vs 1407).
  • Andrea Bacaloni is in better form: 50% recent wins.

Statistics

Andrea BacaloniAditya Kothari
Win %50%20%
Win % · Hard 13% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.10.4-1.7
Games (G-P)9.7-9.54.2-11
Aces1.30.4
Double faults3.23.1
1st serve %62.3%46.9%
Break %53.6%33.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 18.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andrea Bacaloni

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Emile Hudd
M25 Pozzuoli
0-2 3-12 L
26/08 Karim Ibrahim
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-0 12-7 W
25/08 Makar Krivoshchekov
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
18/08 Kevin Edengren
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
13/08 Oskari Paldanius
M15 Turku
0-2 4-12 L
12/08 Jeri Lassila
M15 Turku
2-0 12-6 W
11/08 Felix Alopaeus
M15 Turku
2-1 13-11 W
10/08 Aatu Niemelae
M15 Turku
2-0 12-5 W
03/08 Edoardo Betti
M25 Fano
1-2 9-11 L
14/07 Pietro Marino
M15 Gubbio
1-2 13-15 L

Aditya Kothari

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/09 Vraj Gohil
M15 Nonthaburi Qual · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
30/08 Vraj Gohil
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
16/06 Muzammil Murtaza
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
25/05 Andre Megrabian
M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
12/05 Adam Kaczmarek
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
11/05 Harel Tarshish
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
08/03 Cedric Stanke
M25 Kolkata · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
10/11 Zach Stephens
ITF M25 Manama
0-2 1-12 L
09/11 Mart De Lijster
ITF M25 Manama
2-1 11-7 W
03/11 Chun-Ming Yam
ITF M15 Manama · Hard
0-2 1-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Andrea Bacaloni vs Aditya Kothari?

Our model gives 81% to Andrea Bacaloni, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.