Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 21/09, 09:00
Prediction: Matteo Martineau vs Justin Boulais
Team pages: Matteo Martineau · Justin Boulais
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Martineau
Justin Boulais
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Martineau
5-5 (W-L)
Justin Boulais
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Martineau 1484 · Justin Boulais 1469
| Matteo Martineau | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Matteo Martineau dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 43.4% break avg.
- Note: Matteo Martineau makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Justin Boulais makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Matteo Martineau | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.7 | 11-12.1 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 4 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 33.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Martineau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Cesar Bouchelaghem Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Borna Gojo Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Emile Hudd Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Billy Blaydes Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Justin Boulais
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Theo Arribage Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/09 | Matis Roche Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Adam Walton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Connor Church Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 17/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Martineau vs Justin Boulais?
Our model gives 57% to Matteo Martineau, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.