Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 21/09, 09:00
Prediction: Mathys Domenc vs Daniel Jade
Team pages: Mathys Domenc · Daniel Jade
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathys Domenc
Daniel Jade
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mathys Domenc
6-4 (W-L)
Daniel Jade
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mathys Domenc
0–2
Daniel Jade
(2 last)
- 29 Aug0-2 3-7L
- 28 May1-2 16-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathys Domenc 1537 · Daniel Jade 1560
| Mathys Domenc | Daniel Jade | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mathys Domenc 0–2 Daniel Jade (2).
Statistics
| Mathys Domenc | Daniel Jade | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.9 | 10.4-9.1 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Mathys Domenc 0 – 2 Daniel Jade (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mathys Domenc 0–2 Daniel Jade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 M15 Monastir | 0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 28/05/26 M25 Carnac | 1-2 | 16-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathys Domenc
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Kyle Overmyer M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/08 | Daniel Jade M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 28/08 | Robin Bertrand M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Mahmoud Chetouane M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Toby Martin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Adrian Andreev M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Simone Massellani M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux M25 Uriage |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Daniel Jade
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Ryan Peniston Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/08 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Mathys Domenc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Rahul Dhokia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Sean Cuenin M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 0-8 | L |
| 17/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 16/07 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Alexandre Aubriot M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Raphael Perot Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathys Domenc vs Daniel Jade?
Our model gives 60% to Daniel Jade, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.