Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 22/09, 10:00
Prediction: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Billy Harris
Team pages: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · Billy Harris
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Billy Harris
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
5-5 (W-L)
Billy Harris
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1525 · Billy Harris 1477
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Billy Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (rating 1525 vs 1477).
- Note: Billy Harris makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Billy Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.7 | 12-11.6 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 32% | 35.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Jie Cui Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Christopher O'Connell US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Maks Kasnikowski US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/08 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Billy Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Toby Samuel US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Gonzalo Bueno US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Billy Harris?
Our model gives 65% to Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.