Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 22/09, 10:00
Prediction: David Jorda Sanchis vs Harry Wendelken
Team pages: David Jorda Sanchis · Harry Wendelken
Prediction summary
Winner
David Jorda Sanchis
Harry Wendelken
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
David Jorda Sanchis
1-9 (W-L)
Harry Wendelken
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · David Jorda Sanchis 1413 · Harry Wendelken 1509
| David Jorda Sanchis | Harry Wendelken | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harry Wendelken (rating 1413 vs 1509).
- Harry Wendelken is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Harry Wendelken makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| David Jorda Sanchis | Harry Wendelken | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 17% (6) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.9 | 1.4-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-13.7 | 14.5-15.9 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 35.7% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
David Jorda Sanchis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Dusan Lajovic US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Henri Squire US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Alan Magadan Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 18/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Max Houkes Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
Harry Wendelken
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Luciano Darderi US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-22 | L |
| 28/08 | Vilius Gaubas US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 26/08 | Remy Bertola US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 24/08 | Stefano Travaglia US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Borna Gojo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Valentin Royer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-22 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in David Jorda Sanchis vs Harry Wendelken?
Our model gives 69% to Harry Wendelken, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.